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I like, I like less, I like more or I don't like anymore…” Predicting consumer behavior from the affective trace of experience: Development of a specific methodology to assess the coherence of the emotional impact of cosmetic experiences.

Conference

Session 4: Skin & Brain Axis

Day 2

3:40 pm

Emotions play a central role in the formation and retention of experiential memory, linking products to affective valence and facilitating memory encoding (Krishna, 2012). Previous research has demonstrated that remembered pleasure is a stronger predictor of future behavior than immediate, in-the-moment pleasure (Kahneman, 2000). Numerous studies, particularly in food and tourism research, have highlighted the influence of emotional memory traces on consumer decision-making.
In the cosmetics industry, the ability to anticipate consumer behavior is critical for successful product launches, reformulations, and cross-cultural adaptation. The objective of this study was therefore to develop and validate a dedicated methodology for measuring the affective trace generated by cosmetic experiences.
A total of 196 female consumers evaluated 35 cosmetic products across skincare, hygiene, makeup, and fragrance categories, with each participant testing six products. Emotional responses were collected via questionnaires administered after one week of use and again after one month, following a longitudinal approach used to assess temporal coherence in experiential evaluations (Kahneman, 2000; Giuffrè, 2025).
Results revealed three distinct emotional dynamics over time: increasing, stable, and decreasing intensity. These patterns demonstrate the sensitivity of the methodology and its capacity to capture meaningful discrepancies between immediate emotional impact and affective memory. Future research should examine the moderating effects of consumer profiles, cultural context, and product category.

Axel de Marles

Senseva

Axel de Marles is the founder and CEO of SENSEVA. He is an agronomical engineer graduated from AgroParisTech and holds a Master’s degree in Neurosciences and Analysis from Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1. He previously collaborated with Professor D. Sander (University of Geneva) on advanced programs dedicated to the assessment of emotional impact, including attentional capture, physiological responses, and subjective affective experience. For over ten years, he has supported cosmetics companies in consumer research, product testing, and the development of robust methodologies to evaluate emotional impact and guide innovation and market decisions.

SENSEVA is an independent consumer research and consulting firm specialized in the assessment of emotional and experiential consumer’s responses, with a strong focus on the cosmetics industry. For more than a decade, SENSEVA has supported cosmetic brands at every stage of innovation, from early concept exploration to product optimization and market validation.
Combining consumer science, sensory analysis, and affective neuroscience, SENSEVA develops robust methodologies to measure emotional impact, experiential coherence, and memorability of cosmetic products. The institute conducts qualitative and quantitative consumer studies, in-use tests, and advanced product evaluations across skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hygiene categories.
SENSEVA collaborates with professional organizations such as FEBEA and COSMEBIO, as well as with leading international cosmetic companies, start-ups, and SMEs. It works closely with R&D, marketing, and innovation teams to translate emotional insights into actionable recommendations, helping brands anticipate consumer behavior, optimize product performance, and strengthen differentiation in highly competitive and international markets.

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